SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
50.17% ( -0.08) | 22.83% ( -0.02) | 26.99% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.94% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.45% ( 0.18) | 39.55% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.1% ( 0.19) | 61.89% ( -0.2) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.03% ( 0.04) | 15.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.73% ( 0.07) | 45.27% ( -0.08) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% ( 0.17) | 27.48% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.02% ( 0.22) | 62.97% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 27% |
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