SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Atalanta BC |
68.66% ( -0.16) | 17.77% ( 0.03) | 13.57% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.27% ( 0.16) | 35.73% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.2% ( 0.17) | 57.8% ( -0.17) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.54% ( 0) | 9.46% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.24% ( 0.01) | 31.76% ( -0.01) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( 0.29) | 38.59% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% ( 0.27) | 75.33% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.39% Total : 68.65% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.77% | 1-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.48% 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 13.57% |
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