Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Sportivo Ameliano and Olimpia.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Sportivo Ameliano win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Sportivo Ameliano | Draw | Olimpia |
24.73% ( 0.12) | 25.84% ( -0) | 49.43% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.07% ( 0.12) |
| 45.8% ( 0.1) | 54.2% ( -0.1) |
| 24.4% ( 0.09) | 75.6% ( -0.08) |
| 62.88% ( 0.16) | 37.12% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.09% ( 0.16) | 73.91% ( -0.15) |
| 78.04% ( -0.01) | 21.96% ( 0.01) |
