SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olimpia | Draw | Fluminense |
30.68% ( 0.63) | 25.12% ( 0) | 44.21% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% ( 0.26) | 47.65% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% ( 0.24) | 69.85% ( -0.24) |
| Olimpia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% ( 0.56) | 29.05% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.04% ( 0.69) | 64.95% ( -0.69) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( -0.18) | 21.56% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.36% ( -0.27) | 54.64% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olimpia | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.68% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.21% |
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