Fluminense have been fantastic at home all season, while the visitors have not been in the best of form on their travels, having drawn two and lost three of their last five matches on the road.
With that in mind, we expect the hosts should be able to build up a healthy lead ahead of the second leg in Asuncion at the beginning of September.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.
-0.02) 
0.07) 
