Flamengo dominated Olimpia when the two teams met for the first leg and that psychological advantage could prove to be crucial when it comes to this match on Friday.
Considering the fact that the visitors have a lead to protect they are already in a more comfortable position, and while Olimpia will ask questions it should be the defending champions that progress.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
1.53) 
-1.85) 
