Considering Flamengo are unbeaten in each of their last 10 home matches in all competitions, the Brazilian hosts will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top on Friday. A dogged display is required from Olimpia if they wish to grind out a positive result and keep themselves in the tie, but we believe that Flamengo will get the better of their Paraguayan counterparts to give themselves a first-leg advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 17.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Olimpia win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Olimpia
62.03% ( -0)	20.43% ( 0)	17.54% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.8% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.87% (

40.13% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.5%

62.5% (

-0)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.57% (

-0)

12.42% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.67% (

-0)

38.33%

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.71% (

36.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93% (

73.07% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 62.03%

Olimpia 17.54%

Draw 20.43%

Flamengo	Draw	Olimpia
2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.91% 3-0 @ 6.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.6% 4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.69% Total : 62.03%	1-1 @ 9.53% 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.51% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.43%	1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.7% 1-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.49% Total : 17.54%