SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sportivo Trinidense win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sportivo Trinidense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sportivo Trinidense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sportivo Trinidense | Draw | Nacional Potosi |
38.25% ( -0.2) | 26.71% ( 0.04) | 35.04% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( -0.12) | 53.25% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( -0.1) | 74.81% ( 0.1) |
| Sportivo Trinidense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( -0.17) | 27.09% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.53% ( -0.22) | 62.46% ( 0.22) |
| Nacional Potosi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( 0.05) | 28.99% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( 0.05) | 64.89% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sportivo Trinidense | Draw | Nacional Potosi |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.24% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.04% |
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