SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 73.19%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 10.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Nacional Potosi |
73.19% ( 0.05) | 16.42% ( -0.03) | 10.38% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.03% ( 0.05) | 37.96% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.77% ( 0.05) | 60.22% ( -0.05) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.02% ( 0.03) | 8.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.37% ( 0.06) | 30.62% ( -0.06) |
| Nacional Potosi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.67% ( -0.01) | 45.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.8% ( -0.01) | 81.2% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortaleza | Draw | Nacional Potosi |
| 2-0 @ 11.82% 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.13% Total : 73.19% | 1-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.42% | 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 10.38% |
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