Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 38.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.36%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tottenham Hotspur in this match.
Result | ||
Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
38.74% ( 0.01) | 23.25% ( 0) | 38.02% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 64.4% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.92% ( -0.01) | 37.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.73% ( -0.01) | 59.27% ( 0.01) |
Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.42% ( 0) | 19.58% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.49% ( 0) | 51.51% ( 0) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.08% ( -0.01) | 19.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.95% ( -0.01) | 52.05% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.19% Total : 38.02% |
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