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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
BL

Luton
4 - 0
Brighton

Adebayo (1', 42', 56'), Ogbene (3')
Sambi Lokonga (25'), Clark (65')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Julio (13'), Balepa (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
23.29% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 54.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 59.8% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01)39.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41% (0.011000000000003 0.01)61.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.81% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)30.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.66% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)66.35% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 23.29%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 54.7%
    Draw 22.01%
Luton TownDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.03%
1-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.11%
3-1 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 23.29%
1-1 @ 10.07%
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.01%
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.16% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.33%
0-3 @ 5.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.57%
2-4 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.7%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Everton 1-2 Luton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Luton
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 0-0 Bolton
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Luton 2-3 Chelsea
Saturday, December 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-3 Luton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-5 Brighton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Wolves
Monday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stoke 2-4 Brighton
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Brighton
Tuesday, January 2 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Spurs
Thursday, December 28 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Brighton
Thursday, December 21 at 8pm in Premier League


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