Despite their win-loss-win-loss routine under Conte in recent weeks, Spurs have never needed any lessons on finding the back of the net, which does not bode well for an out-of-sorts Brighton and their leaky defence.
The Seagulls have become a bit of a bogey team for Spurs on the road in recent years, but after claiming a 3-1 win in the cup last month, we can see lightning striking twice as Conte's side reignite their Champions League charge.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
