Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
35.87% (![]() | 25.39% (![]() | 38.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.47% (![]() | 47.52% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.27% (![]() | 69.73% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% (![]() | 25.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.3% (![]() | 60.7% (![]() |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.81% (![]() | 24.18% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.48% (![]() | 58.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
1-0 @ 8.45% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.13% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 3.43% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.84% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.74% |
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