SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 55.87%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 22.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 1-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Brentford |
55.87% ( 0.29) | 21.23% ( -0.01) | 22.9% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 62.14% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.04% ( -0.29) | 35.96% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.94% ( -0.32) | 58.06% ( 0.32) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( -0.01) | 12.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.73% ( -0.02) | 39.27% ( 0.02) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( -0.39) | 28.68% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.5% ( -0.49) | 64.5% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.07% Total : 55.87% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 22.9% |
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