SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester City |
34.39% ( 0.06) | 22.67% ( 0.01) | 42.94% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 66.04% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.29% ( -0.02) | 34.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.34% ( -0.03) | 56.66% ( 0.03) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( 0.02) | 20.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.82% ( 0.03) | 53.18% ( -0.03) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.19% ( -0.04) | 16.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.22% ( -0.06) | 46.77% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 3.93% Total : 34.4% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 42.94% |
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