SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Worthing |
23.79% ( -2.03) | 21.94% ( -0.53) | 54.27% ( 2.56) |
| Both teams to score 60.72% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.66% ( 0.46) | 38.34% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.38% ( 0.49) | 60.63% ( -0.48) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( -1.33) | 29.27% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.78% ( -1.66) | 65.23% ( 1.66) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% ( 1) | 14.16% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.16% ( 1.92) | 41.85% ( -1.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.38) 1-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.22% Total : 23.8% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.25)0-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.29)2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.14)0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.42% Total : 54.27% |
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