SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Aberdeen |
29.9% ( 0.27) | 25.46% ( -0.05) | 44.64% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.5% ( 0.34) | 49.5% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% ( 0.3) | 71.54% ( -0.3) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( 0.37) | 30.52% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.26% ( 0.43) | 66.74% ( -0.42) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.86% ( 0.05) | 22.14% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.47% ( 0.07) | 55.53% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.9% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.64% |
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