SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Dundee |
38.39% ( 0.05) | 27.22% ( -0) | 34.39% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.65% ( 0.01) | 55.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.44% ( 0.01) | 76.56% ( -0.01) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% ( 0.03) | 28.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.35% ( 0.04) | 63.65% ( -0.04) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( -0.02) | 30.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( -0.03) | 66.64% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.39% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.52% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 34.38% |
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