SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
44.31% ( 0.48) | 27.27% ( -0.15) | 28.42% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.75% ( 0.41) | 57.25% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.91% ( 0.33) | 78.09% ( -0.33) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( 0.43) | 25.69% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% ( 0.58) | 60.61% ( -0.59) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% ( -0.04) | 35.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.54% ( -0.04) | 72.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.2% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 28.42% |
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