SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
27.07% ( -0.3) | 23.44% ( -0.05) | 49.48% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 58.85% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.67% ( 0.01) | 42.33% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.26% ( 0.01) | 64.73% ( -0.01) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( -0.21) | 28.87% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( -0.27) | 64.74% ( 0.27) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( 0.14) | 17.25% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.43% ( 0.24) | 47.57% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.07% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 49.48% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
