Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
