Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
