Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
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