Bolton will be full of confidence after winning five of their last seven league matches, and we think that they will claim another win in Tuesday's away clash, especially as Stevenage have lost three of their previous four games in the third tier.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.05) 
