SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Stevenage |
39.33% ( 0.02) | 25.86% ( -0.27) | 34.81% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.55% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( 1.18) | 49.68% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% ( 1.05) | 71.7% ( -1.05) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( 0.55) | 24.85% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% ( 0.76) | 59.44% ( -0.76) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( 0.72) | 27.4% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% ( 0.92) | 62.88% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.81% |
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