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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 35.4%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
35.11% ( 0.81) | 29.49% ( 0.13) | 35.4% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 43.51% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.41) | 63.46% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.2% ( -0.29) | 82.8% ( 0.29) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( 0.33) | 34.13% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.18% ( 0.35) | 70.82% ( -0.36) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% ( -0.83) | 33.93% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.91) | 70.61% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.11% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.48% | 0-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.39% |
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