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League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
AW

Stockport
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Bailey (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewis (12'), Balmer (80'), Bugiel (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

Stockport County ended the month of March in sparkling form, looking strong across the board in their last two convincing triumphs. Therefore, we believe they will have the upper hand against a Wimbledon side that have not been quite as consistent over 90 minutes and are not nearly as sharp in front of goal as the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stockport County.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
58.58% (-0.174 -0.17) 22.83% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 18.59% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.91% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.172 -0.17)48.94% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.157 -0.16)71.03% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (-0.119 -0.12)16.39% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.97% (-0.217 -0.22)46.03% (0.217 0.22)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.69% (0.009999999999998 0.01)40.3% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)76.93% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 58.58%
    AFC Wimbledon 18.59%
    Draw 22.82%
Stockport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 58.58%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.047 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 6% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 18.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Stockport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Stockport
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Harrogate
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two


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