Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 62.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match.