SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
35.46% ( 0) | 24.27% ( -0) | 40.26% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.61% ( 0.03) | 42.38% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( 0.03) | 64.79% ( -0.03) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( 0.02) | 23.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( 0.02) | 57.67% ( -0.02) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( 0.01) | 21.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.98% ( 0.02) | 54.02% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 35.46% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.26% |
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