SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
46.16% ( 0.03) | 23.12% | 30.72% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.58% ( -0.02) | 38.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.29% ( -0.02) | 60.71% ( 0.02) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.98% ( 0) | 17.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.84% ( 0.01) | 47.16% ( -0.01) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( -0.03) | 24.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.12% ( -0.04) | 58.88% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0)Other @ 4.19% Total : 46.16% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.72% |
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