Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
56.66% ( -0.68) | 23.51% ( -0.13) | 19.83% ( 0.81) |
Both teams to score 49.89% ( 1.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.97% ( 1.56) | 50.03% ( -1.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.99% ( 1.38) | 72% ( -1.38) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.54% ( 0.33) | 17.46% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.07% ( 0.56) | 47.92% ( -0.57) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.44% ( 1.8) | 39.55% ( -1.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.76% ( 1.62) | 76.24% ( -1.63) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.64) 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 56.65% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.35% Total : 19.83% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: