SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Stoke City |
25.48% ( 0.05) | 24.03% ( 0.05) | 50.49% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.75% ( -0.16) | 46.25% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.45% ( -0.16) | 68.54% ( 0.15) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.82% ( -0.05) | 32.17% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.34% ( -0.06) | 68.65% ( 0.05) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( -0.1) | 18.35% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.52% ( -0.17) | 49.47% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 25.48% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 50.48% |
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