SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Stoke City |
44.56% ( -0.01) | 25.88% ( 0.01) | 29.57% |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( -0.05) | 51.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( -0.04) | 73.18% ( 0.05) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( -0.03) | 22.98% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( -0.04) | 56.77% ( 0.04) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.29% ( -0.02) | 31.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.87% ( -0.03) | 68.13% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.57% |
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