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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
ML

Plymouth
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Gibson (38'), Gyabi (72'), Bundu (81')
Ogbeta (77'), Gyabi (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Howson (50'), Hackney (77'), Latte Lath (84')
Edmundson (70'), Doak (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-4 Middlesbrough

Aiming to avoid a fifth straight defeat in the Championship, Plymouth are unlikely to experience any festive cheer as playoff hopefuls Middlesbrough come to town this weekend. Boro have already smashed Oxford on the road this season, and it could be a similar narrative at the expense of another relegation candidate on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 0-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
22.74% (-0.438 -0.44) 21.36% (-0.135 -0.13) 55.91% (0.576 0.58)
Both teams to score 61.43% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.21% (0.122 0.12)36.8% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.04% (0.13099999999999 0.13)58.97% (-0.127 -0.13)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.29700000000001 -0.3)29.28% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.367 -0.37)65.24% (0.369 0.37)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.86% (0.21599999999999 0.22)13.14% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.19% (0.431 0.43)39.81% (-0.428 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 22.74%
    Middlesbrough 55.91%
    Draw 21.36%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 5.89% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.73% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.9% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 22.74%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.58% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 5.36% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.04% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.34% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.72% (0.07 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.05% (0.019 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.36% (0.034 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 55.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-2 Swansea
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 6-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-2 Watford
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, December 6 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-6 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship


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