Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.91%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.92%) and 0-1 (7.81%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
22.74% ( -0.44) | 21.36% ( -0.13) | 55.91% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 61.43% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.21% ( 0.12) | 36.8% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.04% ( 0.13) | 58.97% ( -0.13) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( -0.3) | 29.28% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( -0.37) | 65.24% ( 0.37) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.86% ( 0.22) | 13.14% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.19% ( 0.43) | 39.81% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 22.74% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.36% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.88% Total : 55.91% |
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