Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
34.08% ( 0.3) | 24.96% ( 0.04) | 40.96% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 57.49% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% ( -0.1) | 45.83% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.86% ( -0.1) | 68.14% ( 0.1) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% ( 0.13) | 26% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.98% ( 0.17) | 61.02% ( -0.17) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% ( -0.21) | 22.31% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% ( -0.31) | 55.78% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.08% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.96% |
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