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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Home Park
BC

Plymouth
2 - 2
Bristol City

Hajal (50'), Pleguezuelo (90+1')
Sorinola (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mehmeti (32'), Knight (56')
McNally (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Plymouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Bristol City

Bristol City will be in high spirits after claiming back-to-back home victories, and while they have struggled to enjoy that sort of success in recent away games, we think that they will do enough to condemn struggling Plymouth to a seventh defeat in eight matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol City
34.08% (0.3 0.3) 24.96% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 40.96% (-0.334 -0.33)
Both teams to score 57.49% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (-0.102 -0.1)45.83% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)68.14% (0.102 0.1)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (0.131 0.13)26% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.98% (0.175 0.17)61.02% (-0.17 -0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-0.206 -0.21)22.31% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (-0.311 -0.31)55.78% (0.316 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 34.08%
    Bristol City 40.96%
    Draw 24.96%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol City
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 34.08%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Plymouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 4-0 Plymouth
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 1-2 Swansea
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 4-0 Plymouth
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Luton
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 QPR
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Championship


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