Stoke found their scoring boots against Rotherham on Saturday, and the Potters should be confident of making the net ripple against an Albion side who have struggled defensively since returning from their summer break.
The Baggies have been poor away from home in 2023, and we do not expect a much-changed West Brom XI to progress into the second round of the EFL Cup at the bet365 Stadium on Tuesday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
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