While West Brom are currently in the habit of raising their game against the better teams, that has not been the case against the rest of the division. That said, Stoke have been disappointing on their travels for some time, and it would come as a surprise if the Baggies do not edge this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.