SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
45.39% ( -2.68) | 27.6% ( 0.06) | 27.01% ( 2.62) |
| Both teams to score 45.98% ( 1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.88% ( 1.34) | 59.12% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.44% ( 1.02) | 79.56% ( -1.02) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( -0.71) | 26% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% ( -0.97) | 61.03% ( 0.97) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.14% ( 3.08) | 37.86% ( -3.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.36% ( 2.87) | 74.63% ( -2.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 13.26% ( -0.97) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.85)2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.5)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.58)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.51)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.2)Other @ 1.66% Total : 27.01% |
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