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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
SL

West Brom
2 - 0
Stoke

Bartley (39'), Thomas-Asante (50')
Townsend (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thompson (24'), Delap (47'), Brown (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-1 West Brom
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Stoke City

West Brom endured a terrible start to the season with the only way being upwards for Corberan after inheriting a squad that is way too good for a relegation fight in the Championship. Stoke recorded a solid win in midweek against Luton but their inconsistency could strike again as they face a Baggies side who are growing in confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
51.72% (0.508 0.51) 25.63% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.64% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.566 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (-0.45 -0.45)55.16% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (-0.37 -0.37)76.4% (0.372 0.37)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.031000000000006 0.03)21.36% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66% (0.049999999999997 0.05)54.34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (-0.742 -0.74)39.6% (0.744 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.694 -0.69)76.28% (0.69600000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 51.71%
    Stoke City 22.64%
    Draw 25.63%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 13.05% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.07% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.71%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: QPR 0-1 West Brom
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, October 29 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-2 West Brom
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Stoke
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Coventry
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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