SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Lillestrom |
41.17% ( -1.59) | 22.96% ( -0.1) | 35.87% ( 1.69) |
| Both teams to score 65.3% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.18% ( 0.9) | 35.82% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.1% ( 0.98) | 57.9% ( -0.98) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( -0.29) | 17.98% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.17% ( -0.5) | 48.83% ( 0.5) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( 1.27) | 20.39% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.19% ( 1.99) | 52.81% ( -1.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.9% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.87% |
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