Lille's form on the road in Europe has given them little to shout about this season, following their struggles in Croatia, Slovakia and even the Faroe Islands.
While there is undoubtedly more star quality on the opposing team, Sturm will be confident in front of home support that they can take something to France in a week's time, given their superb start to 2024.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0) 
