SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Wolfsberger |
46.98% ( 0.1) | 24.69% ( -0.05) | 28.33% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.98% ( 0.19) | 47.02% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.74% ( 0.18) | 69.27% ( -0.18) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0.12) | 20.08% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( 0.19) | 52.33% ( -0.19) |
| Wolfsberger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( 0.06) | 30.38% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.43% ( 0.08) | 66.57% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Wolfsberger |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 46.98% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.33% |
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