SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 19.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 2-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
19.55% ( 1.31) | 21.09% ( 0.53) | 59.35% ( -1.84) |
| Both teams to score 57.33% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.08% ( -0.39) | 39.92% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.72% ( -0.4) | 62.28% ( 0.4) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% ( 1.15) | 34% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.31% ( 1.21) | 70.68% ( -1.22) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.87% ( -0.66) | 13.13% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.21% ( -1.35) | 39.78% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.55% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.3)0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.72% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.41% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.27)2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.52% Total : 59.35% |
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