Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Ascoli
40.47% ( 0.07)	29.54% ( -0.01)	29.98% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 42.41% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.66% (

0.02)

64.34% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.57% (

0.01)

83.42% (

-0.01)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79% (

0.05)

31.21% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45% (

0.06)

67.55% (

-0.06)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.66% (

-0.03)

38.34% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.9% (

-0.03)

75.1% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 40.47%

Ascoli 29.98%

Draw 29.53%

Sudtirol	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 13.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.47%	1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.53%	0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 29.98%