SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Coventry City |
43.37% ( 0.07) | 25.44% ( 0.01) | 31.2% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.17% ( -0.09) | 48.83% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.07% ( -0.09) | 70.93% ( 0.09) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( -0.01) | 22.45% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.01% ( -0.01) | 55.99% ( 0.01) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -0.11) | 29.29% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( -0.13) | 65.25% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.37% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.2% |
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