Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Oxford United |
52.12% (![]() | 24.11% (![]() | 23.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.86% (![]() | 48.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.71% (![]() | 70.29% (![]() |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.55% (![]() | 18.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.38% (![]() | 49.62% (![]() |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.36% (![]() | 34.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.63% (![]() | 71.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 10.8% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.68% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 3.32% Total : 52.12% | 1-1 @ 11.45% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.77% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 2.11% Total : 23.77% |
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