SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
24.58% ( 0.67) | 24.03% ( 0.52) | 51.39% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.98% ( -1.6) | 47.02% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( -1.52) | 69.26% ( 1.51) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.67% ( -0.3) | 33.33% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.05% ( -0.33) | 69.95% ( 0.32) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% ( -1.05) | 18.3% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.61% ( -1.81) | 49.38% ( 1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.58% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.38% |
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