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CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Dr. Ir. Franklin Essed Stadion
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Suriname
5 - 1
Guyana

Becker (3', 10'), Misidjan (33'), Jubitana (51'), Haps (69')
Pherai (29'), Pinas (66')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Jones (13')
Gordon (35'), Kellman (45+3'), Lovell (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Costa Rica
Friday, October 11 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guyana 1-3 Guatemala
Saturday, October 12 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Suriname 2-0 Guyana

Suriname's only win of their Nations League campaign took place in their reverse fixture against Tuesday's opponents, and with home advantage in their favour, we believe that the hosts will claim another win over Guyana to put themselves in contention for a top-two finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 72.83%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Guyana had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Guyana win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.

Result
SurinameDrawGuyana
72.83% (-3.633 -3.63) 16.58% (1.618 1.62) 10.59% (2.0061 2.01)
Both teams to score 49.98% (2.376 2.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.92% (-1.276 -1.28)38.08% (1.268 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.65% (-1.371 -1.37)60.34% (1.362 1.36)
Suriname Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.9% (-1.125 -1.13)9.09% (1.1169 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.1% (-2.759 -2.76)30.9% (2.752 2.75)
Guyana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.98% (3.249 3.25)45.01% (-3.257 -3.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (2.477 2.48)80.94% (-2.486 -2.49)
Score Analysis
    Suriname 72.82%
    Guyana 10.59%
    Draw 16.58%
SurinameDrawGuyana
2-0 @ 11.76% (-0.54 -0.54)
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 9.4% (-0.968 -0.97)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.425 0.43)
3-1 @ 7.51% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.64% (-0.924 -0.92)
4-1 @ 4.5% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3% (0.243 0.24)
5-0 @ 2.7% (-0.615 -0.62)
5-1 @ 2.16% (-0.26 -0.26)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.056 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.08% (-0.318 -0.32)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 72.82%
1-1 @ 7.83% (0.743 0.74)
0-0 @ 4.09% (0.244 0.24)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.483 0.48)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 16.58%
0-1 @ 3.27% (0.463 0.46)
1-2 @ 3.13% (0.544 0.54)
0-2 @ 1.3% (0.283 0.28)
2-3 @ 1% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 10.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Costa Rica
Friday, October 11 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 1-0 Suriname
Monday, September 9 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guyana 1-3 Suriname
Thursday, September 5 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Anguilla 0-4 Suriname
Saturday, June 8 at 8.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Suriname 4-1 St Vincent & Gr.
Wednesday, June 5 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Martinique
Sunday, March 24 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guyana 1-3 Guatemala
Saturday, October 12 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Martinique 2-2 Guyana
Monday, September 9 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guyana 1-3 Suriname
Thursday, September 5 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guyana 3-1 Belize
Tuesday, June 11 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Panama 2-0 Guyana
Friday, June 7 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-0 Guyana
Thursday, May 16 at 12am in International Friendlies


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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