SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
30.01% ( -0.03) | 21.56% ( 0.64) | 48.43% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 68.13% ( -2.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.87% ( -3.24) | 31.12% ( 3.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.47% ( -3.93) | 52.53% ( 3.93) |
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% ( -1.64) | 21.26% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.83% ( -2.61) | 54.17% ( 2.6) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% ( -1.36) | 13.48% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.51% ( -2.79) | 40.49% ( 2.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.56)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.1)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.01% | 1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.72) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.49)3-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.46)0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.72)2-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.33)0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.3)0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.16)3-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.22)2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.1% Total : 48.43% |
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