SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
41.71% ( -0.57) | 23.19% ( 0.52) | 35.1% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 64.21% ( -2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.83% ( -2.61) | 37.17% ( 2.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.63% ( -2.87) | 59.37% ( 2.87) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( -1.31) | 18.31% ( 1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.6% ( -2.26) | 49.4% ( 2.26) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( -1.17) | 21.4% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.61% ( -1.83) | 54.39% ( 1.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.56)2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.73% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.48)3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.54)0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.1% |
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